A Study of the Influence of Uncertainty and Perceived Value on the Purchase Intention of Blind Box Tourism Products: Taking the Blind Box of Tongcheng Travel App Hotel as an Example
酒店盲盒類產品 ; 購買意願 ; 感知價值 ; 消費行為
Hotel blind box products ; purchase intention ; perceived value ; consumption behavior
Hotel blind box products, as an innovative offering combining surprise elements with accommodation experiences, are characterized primarily by their inherent uncertainty. Extensive research indicates that the uncertainty of blind boxes significantly influences consumer behavior, psychological responses, and purchase intentions. This provides a theoretical foundation for examining blind box uncertainty as a determinant of consumer purchase intentions. This study innovatively investigates the impact of hotel blind box uncertainty on customers' perceived value and purchase intentions. Amid the current blind box marketing trend, this research builds upon Skinner's reinforcement theory and synthesizes existing literature to develop a comprehensive model. Employing quantitative research methods, we designed a questionnaire based on established measurement scales. After pilot testing and refinement, with invalid responses excluded, we collected 305 valid questionnaires. Data analysis was conducted using SPSS 26.0 and SmartPLS3, yielding the following findings:A significant relationship exists among uncertainty, perceived value, and purchase intention. Uncertainty positively influences perceived value, as the unique characteristics of blind boxes create intriguing consumer experiences. Perceived value, in turn, positively affects purchase intention, stimulating consumers' impulse to purchase or repurchase blind boxes. Uncertainty exerts a positive indirect effect on purchase intention through the mediating role of perceived value, while demonstrating a negative direct effect. The overall effect remains positive, indicating that uncertainty primarily drives consumer behavior by enhancing perceived value. This study reveals a masking effect, suggesting that uncertainty may positively influence purchases through emotional pathways while negatively affecting them through rational pathways. This research not only provides novel insights for hotel marketing but also offers empirical evidence for developing more effective blind box marketing strategies in competitive markets. The findings contribute significantly to advancing consumer behavior theory and have practical implications for the hotel industry's operational practices.
1.Alice. (2020). The psychological enlightenment behind blindness and economy. China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House, 7, 56–61.
2.Ajzen, I. (1991). The theory of planned behavior. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 50(2), 179–211.
3.Aramendia-Muneta, M.E. (2020). Nuclear energy promotion using collectable cards aimed at children. J. Histo. Res. Market. 12 (1), 75–100.
4.Axe, J. B., Phelan, S. H., & Irwin, C. L. (2019). Empirical Evaluations of Skinner's Analysis of Problem Solving. Anal Verbal Behav, 35(1), 39-56.
5.Bollen, K. A. (1989) Structural equations with latent variables. New York: Wiley.
6.Bouton, M. E., & Balleine, B. W. (2019). Prediction and control of operant behavior: What you see is not all there is. 7.Behavior Analysis: Research and Practice, 19(2), 202-212.
8.Chen, S. (2020). China’s blind-box economy, 2020(June). China Skinny.
9.Dhar, R., & Wertenbroch, K. (2000). Consumer choice between hedonic and utilitarian goods. Journal of Marketing Research, 37(1), 60-71.
10.Dodds, W. B., Monroe, K.B., and Grewal, D. (1991). Effect of Price, Brand and Store information on buyers’ product evaluations, Journal of Marketing Research, 28(3), 307-319.
11.Gordan, M., & Krishan, I. A. (2014). A review of BF Skinner’s ‘Reinforcement Theory of Motivation’. International journal of research in education methodology, 5(3), 680-688.
12.Hirschman, E. C. (1980). Innovativeness, novelty seeking, and consumer creativity. Journal of Consumer Research, 7(3), 283-295.
13.Jezzini, A., Bromberg-Martin, E. S., Trambaiolli, L. R., Haber, S. N., and Monosov, I. E. (2021). A prefrontal network integrates preferences for advance information about uncertain rewards and punishments. Neuron 109, 2339–2352.
14.Ji, R. (2020). Blind-box, consumer psychological analysis. China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House, (1), 117–119.
15.Jiang, S., & Song, Z. (2020). Exploring the communication path of community economy in the new media ecology—Taking the popularity of blind-box as an example. Media Economy, 12, 77–81.
16.Joshi, Y., & Rahman, Z. (2015). Factors affecting green purchase behaviour and future research directions. International 17.Strategic Management Review, 3(1–2), 128–143.
18.Ketelaar, P. E., Van’T Riet, J., Thorbjornsen, H., and Buijzen, M. (2018). Positive uncertainty: the benefit of the doubt in advertising. Int. J. Advert. 37, 256–269.
19.Lietz, P. (2010). Research into questionnaire design. International Journal of Market Research, 52(2), 249–272.
20.Lim, Y. J., Osman, A., Salahuddin, S. N., Romle, A. R., & Abdullah, S. (2016). Factors Influencing Online Shopping Behavior: The Mediating Role of Purchase Intention. Procedia Economics and Finance, 35, 401-410.
21.Liu, S.-W., Huang, W., Rao, H., & Fu, Y.-K. (2023). Ternary economic analysis of blind-box marketing. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 36(3).
22.Lu, Y. (2020). A study on consumption psychology and investment psychology of “Blind-Box fever” from the perspective of subculture. Market Modernization Magazine, 8, 17–18.
23.Luo, B., Li, L., & Sun, Y. (2021). Understanding the Influence of Consumers' Perceived Value on Energy-Saving Products Purchase Intention. Front Psychol, 12, 640376.
24.MacKinnon, D. P., Fairchild, A. J., & Fritz, M. S. (2007). Mediation analysis. Annual Review of Psychology, 58, 593-614.
25.Mvondo, G. F. N., Jing, F., & Hussain, K. (2023). What's in the box? Investigating the benefits and risks of the blind box selling strategy. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 71.
26.Nguyen-Thi-Phuong, A., Le-Kim, S., To-The, N., Nguyen-Thu, H., & Nguyen-Anh, T. (2022). The influences of cultural values on consumers’ green purchase intention in emerging markets: an evidence from South Korea and Vietnam. Current Psychology, 42(34), 30293-30310.
27.Pang, K., He, W., Liu, H., Tang, X., & Liao, Y. (2023). Empirical Research on How Product Features of Blind Box Affect Consumers' Purchase Intention—Based on Structural Equation Modeling. In Proceedings of the 2022 International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis (MSEA 2022) (pp. 849-856).
28.Preston, C. C., & Colman, A. M. (2000). Optimal number of response categories in rating scales: Reliability, validity, discriminating power, and respondent preferences. Acta Psychologica, 104, 1–15.
29.Qing, C., & Jin, S. (2022). What drives consumer purchasing intention in live streaming e-commerce? Frontiers in Psychology, 13, 938726.
30.Reimann, M., Lünemann, U. F., & Chase, R. B. (2008). Uncertainty avoidance as a moderator of the relationship between perceived service quality and customer satisfaction. Journal of Service Research, 11(1), 63–73.
31.Ruan, B., Hsee, C. K., & Lu, Z. Y. (2018). The teasing effect: An underappreciated benefit of creating and resolving an uncertainty. Journal of Marketing Research, 55(4), 556–570.
32.Sheth, J. N., Newman, B. I., and Gross, B. L. (1991). Why we buy what we buy: a theory of consumption values. J. Bus. Res. 22, 159–170.
33.Shiu, E. M., Walsh, G., Hassan, L. M., & Shaw, D. (2011). Consumer uncertainty, revisited. Psychology and Marketing, 28(6), 584–607.
34.Skinner, B. F. (1953). Science and human behavior. Macmillan.
35.Sweeney, J.C., & Soutar, G.N. (2001). Consumer perceived value: The development of a multiple item scale. Journal of Retailing, 77(2), 203-220.
36.Tilahun, M., Berhan, E., & Tesfaye, G. (2023). Determinants of consumers’ purchase intention on digital business model platform: evidence from Ethiopia using partial least square structural equation model (PLS-SEM) technique. Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, 12(1).
37.Wang, D.Z., Zhou, C.C. (2021). Blind box consumption: a new phenomenon in contemporary youth consumption lifestyle. Gansu Soc. Sci. 2, 120–126.
38.Wei, L. (2021). The Blind-Box Economy 2021 from the perspective of use and satisfaction, business culture, No. 492, 56–57.
39.Xie, Y. (2023). Enhancing the Effectiveness of Digital Museum Services: Through a Study of Perceived Value Theory. Journal of the Knowledge Economy.
40.Yan, H., Wang, L., & Xiong, H. (2024). Would the blind box be more effective? The role of uncertainty in consumers’ post-recovery satisfaction. Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Management, 59, 86-101.
41.Yan, X., and Wu, J.-F. (2021). The effect of blind box customer experience on repeated purchase intention. China Bus. Mark. 35, 85–95.
42.Yang, F., Tang, J., Men, J., & Zheng, X. (2021). Consumer perceived value and impulse buying behavior on mobile commerce: The moderating effect of social influence. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 63.
43.Yunus, N. S. N. M., & Rashid, W. E. W. (2016). The Influence of Country-of-origin on Consumer Purchase Intention: The Mobile Phones Brand from China. Procedia Economics and Finance, 37, 343-349.
44.Zeithaml, V. (1988). Consumer perceptions of price, quality and value: A means-end model and synthesis of evidence. Journal of Marketing, 52(3), 2-22.
45.Zhan, L., & Xiong, Y. (2024). Research on the Influence Mechanism of Blind Box Product Characteristics on Consumers’ Purchase Intention. Wuhan International Conference on E-business (pp. 225-236).
46.Zhang, L., & Phakdeephirot, N. (2023). The influence of blind box marketing on Consumers' purchase intention: taking" POPMART" as an example.
47.Zhang, Y., & Zhang, T. (2022). The effect of blind box product uncertainty on consumers' purchase intention: The mediating role of perceived value and the moderating role of purchase intention. Front Psychol, 13, 946527.
48.Zhang, Y., Zhou, H., & Qin, J. (2022). Research on the effect of uncertain rewards on impulsive purchase intention of blind box products. Front Behav Neurosci, 16, 946337.
49.Zhang, Y., Zhang, T., Zhou, H., & Qin, J. (2024). The influence of uncertainty on indulgent consumption: a chain mediation model of curiosity and positive emotion. Asia Pacific Journal of Marketing and Logistics.
50.Zhang, Z. (2021). Research on blind box and its marketing strategy. In 2021 International Conference on Economic Development and Business Culture (ICEDBC 2021) (pp. 115-118). Atlantis Press.Highlights in Art and Design, 4(2), 154-160.
51.王鈺芊. (2022). 基於S-O-R模型的盲盒產品消費者購買意願研究. 現代營銷(下旬刊), (09), 23-25.
52.韓佳瞳. (2018). 淺析酒店網絡預訂現狀與發展前景. 決策探索(下), (02), 71-72.
53.徐穎, 郭雯君. (2023). 不確定性的雙元視角-基於盲盒銷售的探討. 管理科學, (01),119-131.
54.焦紹聰, 吳波(2022). 淺析後盲盒經濟時代盲盒包裝設計特性[J]. 流行色, 2022(4):94-96.
55.謝炫,張義輝 & 李偉峰.(2022).斯金納強化理論在體育家庭作業中的應用. 青少年體育(10),138-140+120.
56.董思萱. (2018). 斯金納強化理論思想探析. 科教導刊(上旬刊)(07), 170-171+181.
57.余江敏. (2001). 斯金納的強化理論及其在教學中的運用. 曲靖師範學院學報(01), 92-94+109.
58.朱益曉. (2009). 淺析斯金納強化理論在員工激勵中的應用. 市場週刊(理論研究)(08),116-117.
59.鐘力平. (2008). 斯金納的強化理論及其應用. 企業改革與管理(02),70-71.
60.李楊瑞金, 白軒瑞, 閆永強 & 王雪純. (2024). 抖音短視頻營銷對農旅產品用戶購買意願的影響研究. 中國商論(18), 73-76.
61.劉書雅, 吳憲霞 & 蔣允. (2024). 美食感知價值對遊客行為意願的影響——以江蘇宿遷為例. 市場週刊(19), 95-99.
62.吳水田 & 劉卷. (2024). 基於感知價值的紅色資源數字化旅遊產品滿意度研究——以廣州市農講所紀念館為例. 科技傳播(07), 30-34+39.
63.鄧俊 & 溫觀友. (2024). 感知價值對新能源汽車購買意願的影響:價值認同的中介作用. 肇慶學院學報(05), 27-36.
64.李瑤. (2024). 電商品牌營銷策略與消費者購買意願研究——基於消費者參與、消費者感知價值的中介作用. 商業經濟研究(14), 55-58.
65.曾茂春. (2024). 低碳標簽、消費者感知價值與低碳產品購買意願——基於成渝地區消費者的問卷調查. 商業經濟研究(15), 61-64.
66.張晗宇. (2024). 旅遊虛擬社區成員感知價值對旅遊意願的影響路徑研究. 黑龍江生態工程職業學院學報(03), 42-48+160.
67.靳文學 & 傅敬雅. (2024). 基于顧客感知價值的大理民宿旅游意愿及其影響因素研究. 西部旅游(11), 17-19.
68.郭志美 & 烏恩. (2024). 基於遊客感知價值的植物園遊憩及教育功能研究-以北京國家植物園和英國邱園為例. 北京林業大學學報(社會科學版).
69.陳秀. (2024). 社交媒體營銷對消費者綠色購買意願的影響——基於綠色知識獲取和綠色品牌形象的鏈式中介效應. 商業經濟研究(19), 51-54.
70.彭潤華 & 石雙雙. (2023). 雙減政策驅動下家長對研學旅遊購買意願的影響因素研究. 荊楚學刊(05), 62-70+89.
71.馮建英, 穆維松 & 傅澤田. (2006). 消費者的購買意願研究綜述. 現代管理科學(11),7-9.